Al Hazm vs Al Akhdoud Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hazm v Al Akhdoud — Team-Based Signals
Al Hazm vs Al Akhdoud Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Al Hazm 2-1 Al Akhdoud — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hazm nicked a narrow win over Al Akhdoud 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hazm as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.80, roughly 56%.
Under the surface, Al Hazm had 47% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 53%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.89 to 0.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hazm's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Hazm had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Hazm and 0.60 for Al Akhdoud.
Al Hazm vs Al Akhdoud Result & Final Score
Al Hazm 2-1 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 12/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Al Hazm vs Al Akhdoud Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hazm win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 41%, draw 26%, Al Akhdoud 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hazm), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.