Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Hazm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
8%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 36%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
1.18/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.16
-59% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
24.0 Crosses 15.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Hazm
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.34 xG 1.07
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
238 Passes 370
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Al Hazm Al Hazm 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
11.11.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
05.05.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD1
25.10.2022 Al Hazm Al Hazm 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-2
AWAY Al Hazm
0.70 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
369 Passes 329
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Hazm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hazm edged past Al Akhdoud 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Hazm found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 52% of the ball to Al Hazm's 48%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.70 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Hazm led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Akhdoud and 0.75 for Al Hazm.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Hazm?

Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Hazm in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Hazm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 39%, draw 27%, Al Hazm 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Akhdoud), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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