Al Nassr vs Al Fateh Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al Fateh — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al Fateh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-2
Al Nassr
SUUD
3-0
HT 1-0
Al Fateh
SUUD
2-2
HT 1-1
Al Nassr
SUUD
Al Nassr 5-1 Al Fateh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr ran out comfortable winners over Al Fateh 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Al Nassr had 58% of the ball to Al Fateh's 42%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 3.34 to 1.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Al Nassr and 1.17 for Al Fateh.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Fateh?
Al Nassr 5-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Fateh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 75%, draw 14%, Al Fateh 11%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.