Al Fateh vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Fateh v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals
Al Fateh vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-2
Al Nassr
SUUD
3-0
HT 1-0
Al Fateh
SUUD
2-2
HT 1-1
Al Nassr
SUUD
2-1
HT 1-1
Al Fateh
SUUD
Al Fateh 3-2 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics
Al Fateh edged past Al Nassr 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Al Nassr at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Al Fateh had 41% of the ball to Al Nassr's 59%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.91 to 2.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Nassr.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Fateh and 2.83 for Al Nassr.
What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Nassr?
Al Fateh 3-2 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Nassr?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 22%, draw 26%, Al Nassr 52%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nassr) went the other way.