Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Riyadh v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Al Riyadh
SUUD
0-2
HT 0-1
Al Riyadh
SUUD1
0-2
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD1
Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Riyadh 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Riyadh had 55% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 45%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.36 to 2.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ahli Jeddah's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Al Riyadh and 2.20 for Al Ahli Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 21%, draw 21%, Al Ahli Jeddah 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.