Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Riyadh v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Al Riyadh
SUUD
0-2
HT 0-1
Al Riyadh
SUUD1
0-2
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD1
Al Riyadh 2-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Riyadh edged past Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Ahli Jeddah at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Riyadh had 33% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 67%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 1.74 to 2.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Ahli Jeddah.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.67 for Al Ahli Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Al Riyadh 2-1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 13%, draw 21%, Al Ahli Jeddah 65%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No went the other way.