Al Fayha 1-0 Al Taee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 28% vs market 19.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taee EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.23/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.90
-17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.0 Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Taee
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.54 xG 1.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
293 Passes 396
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2023 Al Taee Al Taee 3-3 HT 3-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
02.05.2023 Al Taee Al Taee 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
26.12.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Taee Al Taee SUUD
22.01.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Taee Al Taee SUUD
27.08.2021 Al Taee Al Taee 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
1-0
AWAY Al Taee
1.39 xG 1.46
36% Ball Possession 64%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
227 Passes 446
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 25
6 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Taee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha squeezed past Al Taee 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Fayha found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Fayha had 36% of the ball to Al Taee's 64%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.39 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Fayha had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Al Fayha and 1.40 for Al Taee.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Taee?

Al Fayha 1-0 Al Taee in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Taee?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 38%, draw 25%, Al Taee 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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