Al Wehda 0-2 Al Hazm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 25% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -15%
1.78/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.55
+23% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.3 Crosses 20.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Hazm
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.98 xG 1.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
321 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Al Hazm Al Hazm 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
09.09.2020 Al Hazm Al Hazm 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
24.01.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 5-1 HT 2-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
28.01.2019 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
0-2
AWAY Al Hazm
0.79 xG 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
464 Passes 235
91% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 13
42 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Hazm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hazm beat Al Wehda 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wehda at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Wehda had 64% of the ball to Al Hazm's 36%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.79 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Wehda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Wehda and 0.75 for Al Hazm.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Hazm?

Al Wehda 0-2 Al Hazm in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Hazm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wehda win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 49%, draw 24%, Al Hazm 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Wehda) ✗ Over 2.5
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