Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli Jeddah v Al Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Al Riyadh
SUUD
0-2
HT 0-1
Al Riyadh
SUUD1
0-2
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD1
Al Ahli Jeddah 5-0 Al Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli Jeddah swept aside Al Riyadh 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 53% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 47%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 2.09 to 0.27.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.00 for Al Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh?
Al Ahli Jeddah 5-0 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 58%, draw 23%, Al Riyadh 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.