Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 33%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.34/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.07
-41% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
19.0 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.28 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
298 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.03.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
22.09.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
04.04.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD1
22.11.2021 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 3-1 HT 3-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-2
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.83 xG 0.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
272 Passes 356
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej squeezed past Al Akhdoud 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Al Khaleej made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 46% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 54%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.83 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Khaleej led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al Akhdoud and 1.75 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Khaleej?

Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 39%, draw 29%, Al Khaleej 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✗ Under 2.5
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