Al Khaleej 2-2 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.35/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.02
+8% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
14.8 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.03 xG 0.55
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
264 Passes 272
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
04.04.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD1
22.11.2021 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 3-1 HT 3-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
2-2
AWAY Al Akhdoud
0.52 xG 2.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
313 Passes 325
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej and Al Akhdoud couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Khaleej at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 48% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 52%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.52 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Khaleej had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Khaleej and 0.33 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Khaleej 2-2 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 42%, draw 27%, Al Akhdoud 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✗ Under 2.5
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