Al Hazm 0-3 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
8%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 28% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 56%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.43/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.12
+28% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
16.6 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hazm
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 1.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
05.02.2022 Al Hazm Al Hazm 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
12.09.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
04.09.2020 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
10.01.2020 Al Hazm Al Hazm 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
20.04.2019 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
0-3
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.52 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 0
363 Passes 368
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hazm vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh ran out comfortable winners over Al Hazm 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Hazm had 51% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 49%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.52 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Hazm and 2.00 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Hazm vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Hazm 0-3 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hazm vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 24%, draw 24%, Al Shabab Riyadh 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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