Abha 1-0 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 43%
+24% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -31%
1.52/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.20
+16% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.6 Crosses 19.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abha
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Wehda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.16 xG 2.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
311 Passes 301
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 4-0 HT 2-0 Abha Abha SUUD
24.02.2023 Abha Abha 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
08.09.2022 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-0 HT 0-0 Abha Abha SUUD
15.03.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-4 HT 0-2 Abha Abha SUUD
27.12.2020 Abha Abha 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
07.02.2020 Abha Abha 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abha
1-0
AWAY Al Wehda
0.89 xG 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
282 Passes 319
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Abha vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha squeezed past Al Wehda 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Abha made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Abha had 47% of the ball to Al Wehda's 53%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.89 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wehda led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Abha and 2.17 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Abha vs Al Wehda?

Abha 1-0 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abha win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Abha 37%, draw 30%, Al Wehda 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abha) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Abha) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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