Al Ettifaq 0-5 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.4
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
66%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
7.16
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 22% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Al Hilal Riyadh win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
15%
+0.4pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.8pp
66%
Away Win
66%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 70%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
0.87/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.98
-47% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
263 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 86%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
15.0 Crosses 23.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.78 xG 2.22
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
268 Passes 558
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 39
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
08.11.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
26.02.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
28.08.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
18.03.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
21.12.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 4-0 HT 3-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
0-5
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.45 xG 4.43
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 6
342 Passes 473
84% Pass Accuracy 92%
10 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh cruised past Al Ettifaq 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 44% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 56%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.45 to 4.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Ettifaq and 2.50 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Ettifaq 0-5 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 16%, draw 18%, Al Hilal Riyadh 66%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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