Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 Apr 2025

Al Ettifaq
1-1 HT 1-0
Al Hilal Riyadh
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.94
2-3 Goals
38%
2.07
4-5 Goals
29%
2.46
6+ Goals
13%
5.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-12.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ettifaq v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 70%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
0.96/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.96
-46% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 85%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.9
16.1 Crosses 23.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.73 xG 2.23
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
248 Passes 560
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
26.02.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
28.08.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
18.03.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
21.12.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 4-0 HT 3-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SAKK
06.10.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD

Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
1-1
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.57 xG 1.18
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
261 Passes 463
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq and Al Hilal Riyadh couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hilal Riyadh at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 39% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 61%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.57 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Al Ettifaq and 2.33 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 24%, draw 22%, Al Hilal Riyadh 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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