Al Raed 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.81
Away OUR CALL
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 26% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Al Ahli Jeddah win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+6.6pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.0pp
56%
Away Win
70%
-13.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 75%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -26%
0.61/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.01
-62% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -23%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
238 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 84%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
11.7 Crosses 20.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 1.62
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
191 Passes 464
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
23.05.2024 Al Raed Al Raed 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
09.12.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
23.06.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
27.12.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
08.04.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-3 HT 0-3 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
0-2
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.38 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
365 Passes 420
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah got the better of Al Raed 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Raed had 46% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 54%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.38 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Raed had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Raed and 0.83 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Raed 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 20%, draw 24%, Al Ahli Jeddah 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
11 Apr 2025
18:55 Al Akhdoud vs Al Taawon Analysis →
21:00 Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal Riyadh Analysis →