Al Akhdoud 1-1 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
52%
-14.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+11.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 26%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.37/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.34
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.6 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Taawon
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.57 xG 1.22
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
276 Passes 488
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
23.02.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
29.08.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-1
AWAY Al Taawon
1.48 xG 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 450
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud and Al Taawon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 42% of the ball to Al Taawon's 58%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.48 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Taawon led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Akhdoud and 1.67 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Taawon?

Al Akhdoud 1-1 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 37%, draw 29%, Al Taawon 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Akhdoud) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✓ Under 2.5
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