Al Taawon 1-0 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.68/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.06
+19% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
15.5 Crosses 20.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.61 xG 0.36
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
550 Passes 304
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
29.08.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
1-0
AWAY Al Akhdoud
0.45 xG 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
364 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon nicked a narrow win over Al Akhdoud 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Al Taawon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Taawon had 59% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 41%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.45 to 1.00 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Akhdoud.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Taawon had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Taawon and 0.50 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Taawon 1-0 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 39%, draw 28%, Al Akhdoud 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Taawon), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
9 Nov 2024
17:30 Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej Analysis →
18:15 Al Wehda vs Damac FC Analysis →