Al Taawon 3-1 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Feb 2024

Al Taawon
3-1 HT 2-0
Al Akhdoud
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Al Taawon vs Al Akhdoud Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 26% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Taawon v Al Akhdoud — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.45/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.04
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.1 Crosses 18.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Al Taawon vs Al Akhdoud Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.11 xG 0.17
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
561 Passes 277
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.08.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD

Al Taawon 3-1 Al Akhdoud — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
3-1
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.11 xG 0.54
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
539 Passes 330
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon got the better of Al Akhdoud 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Taawon as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Taawon had 61% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 39%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.11 to 0.54.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Taawon 3-1 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 49%, draw 23%, Al Akhdoud 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Taawon) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
23 Feb 2024
17:00 Al Riyadh vs Al Raed Analysis →
20:00 Al Fateh vs Damac FC Analysis →