Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 55%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
0.60/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/2.52
-65% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -70%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
235 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
21.2 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Raed
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.13 xG 1.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
377 Passes 345
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
1-1
AWAY Al Raed
0.44 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
365 Passes 275
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh and Al Raed couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Raed at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 55% of the ball to Al Raed's 45%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.44 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Raed?

Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 28%, draw 26%, Al Raed 47%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Raed) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
23 Feb 2024
17:00 Al Taawon vs Al Akhdoud Analysis →
20:00 Al Fateh vs Damac FC Analysis →