Al Fateh 1-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 25% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.70/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.57
+3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.0 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Damac FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.17 xG 1.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
366 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
27.05.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
20.01.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
29.05.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
25.11.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 5-5 HT 2-3 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
17.04.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
1-1
AWAY Damac FC
1.00 xG 1.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
299 Passes 375
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh and Damac FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fateh at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 45% of the ball to Damac FC's 55%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.00 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Fateh and 2.00 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Damac FC?

Al Fateh 1-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 42%, draw 27%, Damac FC 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Fateh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ BTTS Yes
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