Al Wehda 2-3 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
13%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 51%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -70% / -70%
1.17/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.58
+8% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
300 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 84%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
17.8 Crosses 25.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Damac FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
365 Passes 279
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
14.09.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 4-2 HT 2-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
03.05.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-2 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
25.12.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
20.12.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SAKK
20.05.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-1 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
2-3
AWAY Damac FC
1.14 xG 1.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
438 Passes 306
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC squeezed past Al Wehda 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Damac FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Wehda had 57% of the ball to Damac FC's 43%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.14 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Wehda and 1.00 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Damac FC?

Al Wehda 2-3 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 32%, draw 23%, Damac FC 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Damac FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Damac FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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