Al Fateh 1-2 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 49%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.51/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.96
+40% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +78%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.2 Crosses 21.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 1.43
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
364 Passes 263
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
15.09.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
06.04.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
11.10.2022 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
29.04.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
20.08.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
1-2
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.00 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
371 Passes 279
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej nicked a narrow win over Al Fateh 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Khaleej as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 56% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 44%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.00 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Fateh and 0.83 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej?

Al Fateh 1-2 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 33%, draw 23%, Al Khaleej 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Khaleej) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
9 Nov 2024
18:15 Al Wehda vs Damac FC Analysis →
20:00 Al Taawon vs Al Akhdoud Analysis →