Al Fateh 1-2 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.69/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.39
+27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
18.8 Crosses 20.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Khaleej
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.50 xG 1.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 Passes 260
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
06.04.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
11.10.2022 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
29.04.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
20.08.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
11.04.2015 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
1-2
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.61 xG 2.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
442 Passes 276
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 33
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej edged past Al Fateh 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fateh at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 61% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 39%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.61 to 2.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Khaleej's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Fateh and 0.50 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej?

Al Fateh 1-2 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 42%, draw 23%, Al Khaleej 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh)
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