Al Taawon 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
3.07
6+ Goals
14%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 55%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.08/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.16
-27% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
15.2 Crosses 22.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.87 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 Passes 365
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
05.02.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
12.09.2021 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
07.05.2021 Al Taawon Al Taawon 4-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
02.01.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-3 HT 0-3 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
11.03.2020 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
0-1
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.95 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
384 Passes 352
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Taawon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Taawon had 50% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 50%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.95 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Taawon and 1.17 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Taawon 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 26%, draw 22%, Al Ahli Jeddah 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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