Al Ettifaq 3-0 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
30%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.3pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.68/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.29
+37% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -23%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.0 Crosses 14.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Abha
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
342 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Abha Abha 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
18.05.2023 Abha Abha 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
07.01.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-1 HT 0-1 Abha Abha SUUD
20.01.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-2 HT 0-1 Abha Abha SUUD
26.08.2021 Abha Abha 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
11.02.2021 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 4-1 HT 3-0 Abha Abha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
3-0
AWAY Abha
2.34 xG 0.61
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 3
454 Passes 176
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq cruised past Abha 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ettifaq as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 68% of the ball to Abha's 32%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.34 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ettifaq had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ettifaq and 1.33 for Abha.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Abha?

Al Ettifaq 3-0 Abha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 57%, draw 20%, Abha 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ettifaq), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
9 Mar 2024
17:00 Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej Analysis →
20:00 Al Taawon vs Al Ahli Jeddah Analysis →