Hapoel Herzliya 1-4 MS Dimona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Liga Alef, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
56%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Herzliya EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY MS Dimona EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +82% / +82%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +116% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Herzliya
1-4
AWAY MS Dimona
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Herzliya vs MS Dimona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MS Dimona cruised past Hapoel Herzliya 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hapoel Herzliya at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Herzliya had 43% of the ball to MS Dimona's 57%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Hapoel Herzliya vs MS Dimona?

Hapoel Herzliya 1-4 MS Dimona in the Israel - Liga Alef on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Herzliya vs MS Dimona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Herzliya win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Herzliya 58%, draw 24%, MS Dimona 19%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Herzliya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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