Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Liga Alef, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Ahi Nazareth EU Bookmakers 26%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
19.12.2023 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2-1 HT 0-1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm İSALEF
POST-MATCH Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth got the better of Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in the Israel - Liga Alef on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 45%, draw 27%, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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