Milan U20 1-0 Lecce U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup Primavera, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.82
No
64%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
51%
-14.5pp
64%
BTTS No
49%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U20
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lecce U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2025 Milan U20 Milan U20 2-1 HT 0-0 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 İTAPŞ1
23.11.2024 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 2-0 HT 2-0 Milan U20 Milan U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U20
1-0
AWAY Lecce U20
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Lecce U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 nicked a narrow win over Lecce U20 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Milan U20 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Milan U20 had 52% of the ball to Lecce U20's 48%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Milan U20 and 1.50 for Lecce U20.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Lecce U20?

Milan U20 1-0 Lecce U20 in the Italy - Cup Primavera on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Lecce U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 41%, draw 25%, Lecce U20 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan U20), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milan U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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