Audace Cerignola 3-2 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.67
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.67/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.47
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.10.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
18.12.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-0 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
22.05.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
18.05.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 4-1 HT 2-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
19.03.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 4-2 HT 3-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
20.11.2022 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-3 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
3-2
AWAY Foggia Calcio
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola edged past Foggia Calcio 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 53% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 47%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Audace Cerignola and 1.33 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Foggia Calcio?

Audace Cerignola 3-2 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 51%, draw 28%, Foggia Calcio 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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