Foggia Calcio 0-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.36
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.51/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.35
+30% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
57% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.12.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-0 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
22.05.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
18.05.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 4-1 HT 2-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
19.03.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 4-2 HT 3-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
20.11.2022 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-3 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
0-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola edged past Foggia Calcio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Audace Cerignola found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 43% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 57%, shots finished 3-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Foggia Calcio and 2.60 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Audace Cerignola?

Foggia Calcio 0-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foggia Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 38%, draw 30%, Audace Cerignola 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Foggia Calcio), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Foggia Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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