Torre Neapolis 1-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Oct 2024

Torre Neapolis
1-1
Catania
📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Torre Neapolis vs Catania Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.96
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 37% vs market 35.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Torre Neapolis v Catania — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.10/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.97
+16% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
226 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Torre Neapolis vs Catania Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torre Neapolis
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Catania
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.03.2024 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-1 HT 2-0 Catania Catania İTC
18.11.2023 Catania Catania 2-1 HT 1-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
06.02.2022 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-3 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
30.09.2021 Catania Catania 3-4 HT 1-2 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
17.03.2021 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
22.11.2020 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC

Torre Neapolis 1-1 Catania — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torre Neapolis
1-1
AWAY Catania
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Torre Neapolis vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torre Neapolis and Catania couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Torre Neapolis had 63% of the ball to Catania's 37%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torre Neapolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Torre Neapolis and 1.50 for Catania.

What was the final score of Torre Neapolis vs Catania?

Torre Neapolis 1-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torre Neapolis vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Torre Neapolis 25%, draw 30%, Catania 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Catania), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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