Torre Neapolis 2-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.12/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.18
+2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torre Neapolis
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Catania
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Catania Catania 2-1 HT 1-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
06.02.2022 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-3 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
30.09.2021 Catania Catania 3-4 HT 1-2 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
17.03.2021 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
22.11.2020 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torre Neapolis
2-1
AWAY Catania
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torre Neapolis vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torre Neapolis squeezed past Catania 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Torre Neapolis made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torre Neapolis had 42% of the ball to Catania's 58%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Torre Neapolis and 1.60 for Catania.

What was the final score of Torre Neapolis vs Catania?

Torre Neapolis 2-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torre Neapolis vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torre Neapolis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Torre Neapolis 37%, draw 32%, Catania 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torre Neapolis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torre Neapolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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