Pro Vercelli 2-0 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Mar 2024

Pro Vercelli
2-0 HT 0-0
Padova Calcio
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Pro Vercelli vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.34
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pro Vercelli v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 54%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.15/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.90
+9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
222 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Pro Vercelli vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.11.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 3-2 HT 2-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
23.12.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
03.09.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
02.04.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
28.11.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
16.03.2013 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTB

Pro Vercelli 2-0 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
2-0
AWAY Padova Calcio
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli beat Padova Calcio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Padova Calcio at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 44% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 56%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pro Vercelli and 1.00 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Padova Calcio?

Pro Vercelli 2-0 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 25%, draw 27%, Padova Calcio 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Padova Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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