Renate 0-3 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.59
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.15/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.82
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
11.05.2023 Renate Renate 0-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
22.04.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-3 HT 1-2 Renate Renate İTC
17.12.2022 Renate Renate 3-0 HT 2-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
0-3
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo swept aside Renate 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arzignano Valchiampo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Renate had 50% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 50%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Renate had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Renate and 0.75 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Renate vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Renate 0-3 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Renate 28%, draw 30%, Arzignano Valchiampo 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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