ACR Messina 1-3 Cavese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.19
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavese EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.28/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.14/0.42
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
236 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
1-3
AWAY Cavese
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Cavese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese got the better of ACR Messina 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Cavese made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ACR Messina had 42% of the ball to Cavese's 58%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Cavese?

ACR Messina 1-3 Cavese in the Italy - Serie C on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Cavese?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACR Messina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 37%, draw 27%, Cavese 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ACR Messina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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