Bragantino 1-1 EC Sao Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
67%
-13.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY EC Sao Jose EU Bookmakers 16%
-76% / -76% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-100% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
42.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-1
AWAY EC Sao Jose
1.96 xG 0.20
70% Ball Possession 30%
25 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
479 Passes 136
88% Pass Accuracy 64%
34 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs EC Sao Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino and EC Sao Jose shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bragantino at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bragantino had 70% of the ball to EC Sao Jose's 30%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 1.96 to 0.20.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs EC Sao Jose?

Bragantino 1-1 EC Sao Jose in the Brazil - Cup on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs EC Sao Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 53%, draw 24%, EC Sao Jose 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Over 2.5
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