CEOV Operario 0-1 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.62
Over 2.5
30%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-8.7pp
70%
Under 2.5
58%
+11.7pp
30%
Over 2.5
42%
-11.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-7.6pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CEOV Operario EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 60%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / -21%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
205 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CEOV Operario
0-1
AWAY Novorizontino
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CEOV Operario vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino nicked a narrow win over CEOV Operario 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, CEOV Operario had 51% of the ball to Novorizontino's 49%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of CEOV Operario vs Novorizontino?

CEOV Operario 0-1 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Cup on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CEOV Operario vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CEOV Operario 21%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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