Polokwane City 0-1 Golden Arrows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
6.07
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
0.97/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.42
-30% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
13.6 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Golden Arrows
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.92 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
28.12.2024 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
10.03.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-1 HT 0-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
26.08.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 3-2 HT 3-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
19.01.2020 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-1 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
26.10.2019 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-1 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
19.10.2019 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
0-1
AWAY Golden Arrows
0.46 xG 0.14
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
192 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Golden Arrows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows edged past Polokwane City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Polokwane City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Polokwane City had 40% of the ball to Golden Arrows's 60%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 0.46 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Golden Arrows led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Polokwane City and 1.17 for Golden Arrows.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Golden Arrows?

Polokwane City 0-1 Golden Arrows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Golden Arrows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polokwane City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 44%, draw 27%, Golden Arrows 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Polokwane City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polokwane City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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