Tigres 3-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres
0W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.53 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
463 Passes 401
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-1 HT 1-1 Tigres Tigres Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres
3-1
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.21 xG 0.36
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
606 Passes 265
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tigres vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres beat FC Cincinnati 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tigres had 67% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 33%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.21 to 0.36.

What was the final score of Tigres vs FC Cincinnati?

Tigres 3-1 FC Cincinnati in the Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tigres 50%, draw 29%, FC Cincinnati 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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