Alianza Lima 1-1 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 21%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.58/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.81
+68% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
22.0 Crosses 10.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Lima
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.01 xG 1.34
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
220 Passes 413
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.03.2025 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Lima
1-1
AWAY Deportes Iquique
0.75 xG 0.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
237 Passes 166
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
14 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Alianza Lima vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima and Deportes Iquique shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Lima at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alianza Lima had 54% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 46%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.75 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Deportes Iquique?

Alianza Lima 1-1 Deportes Iquique in the Copa Libertadores on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 49%, draw 26%, Deportes Iquique 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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