Al Mokawloon 1-0 Asyut Petroleum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.2pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Asyut Petroleum EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.83/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.22
+20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Mokawloon
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Asyut Petroleum
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
04.11.2024 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum 2-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Mokawloon
1-0
AWAY Asyut Petroleum
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Mokawloon vs Asyut Petroleum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon edged past Asyut Petroleum 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Mokawloon as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Al Mokawloon had 43% of the ball to Asyut Petroleum's 57%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Asyut Petroleum?

Al Mokawloon 1-0 Asyut Petroleum in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Asyut Petroleum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 50%, draw 25%, Asyut Petroleum 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Mokawloon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR2 More Egypt - 2nd Division
12 Mar 2025
22:30 Proxy vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Analysis →
22:30 Aswan FC vs El Daklyeh Analysis →
22:30 La Viena FC vs Abu Qair Semad Analysis →
22:30 Wadi Degla vs Kahraba Ismailia Analysis →