Ghazl El Mehalla 0-3 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.88
6+ Goals
6%
29.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.22 — our 42% vs market 36.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.0pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.1pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.9pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.23/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.86
+25% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +76%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
22.4 Crosses 16.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Masr
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.63 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
331 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2025 Masr 2-0 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0-3
AWAY Masr
1.15 xG 0.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
282 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr ran out comfortable winners over Ghazl El Mehalla 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (29% / 34% / 37%) promised a tight game; Masr found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 51% of the ball to Masr's 49%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.15 to 0.37 — on chances, Ghazl El Mehalla could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Masr?

Ghazl El Mehalla 0-3 Masr in the Egypt - Premier League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 29%, draw 34%, Masr 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Masr), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Masr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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