Pharco 2-1 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.67
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.8pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
0.93/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.94
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
14.7 Crosses 18.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
3W-3D-0L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.06 xG 0.85
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
197 Passes 349
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
13.08.2024 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
01.03.2024 Pharco Pharco 2-1 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
11.02.2023 Pharco Pharco 1-0 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
18.10.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
09.08.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 0-1 HT 0-1 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
2-1
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
0.72 xG 1.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
279 Passes 249
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pharco vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pharco squeezed past National Bank of Egypt 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was National Bank of Egypt at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pharco had 52% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 48%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.72 to 1.51 — on chances, National Bank of Egypt could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pharco had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pharco and 0.33 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Pharco vs National Bank of Egypt?

Pharco 2-1 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated an National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pharco 29%, draw 28%, National Bank of Egypt 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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