Real Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 12 Apr 2024

Real Betis
2-1 HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Betis vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.58
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
13%
4.22
X/2
10%
7.79
X/X
15%
4.51
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
9%
6.1
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Betis v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.64/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.40
+20% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
17.6 Crosses 15.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Real Betis vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.66 xG 1.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
356 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.01.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
04.02.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 3-4 HT 2-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
02.10.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
20.03.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
02.01.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 0-2 HT 0-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
22.05.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-3 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Real Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
2-1
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.26 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
440 Passes 499
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
35 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis nicked a narrow win over Celta Vigo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Betis as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Real Betis had 47% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 53%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.26 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Betis and 1.83 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Celta Vigo?

Real Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 43%, draw 29%, Celta Vigo 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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