Celta Vigo vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celta Vigo v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals
Celta Vigo vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 2-2
Celta Vigo
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Real Betis
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Real Betis
İS1
0-2
HT 0-2
Celta Vigo
İS1
2-3
HT 1-0
Real Betis
İS1
2-1
HT 2-1
Celta Vigo
İS1
Celta Vigo 2-1 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo squeezed past Real Betis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Celta Vigo had 40% of the ball to Real Betis's 60%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.74 to 1.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Celta Vigo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.33 for Real Betis.
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
Celta Vigo 2-1 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 45%, draw 25%, Real Betis 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.