Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Madrid v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Real Madrid
İS1
4-1
HT 1-1
Mallorca
İS1
0-3
HT 0-0
Real Madrid
İS1
6-1
HT 3-1
Mallorca
İS1
2-0
HT 1-0
Mallorca
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Real Madrid
İS1
Real Madrid 1-0 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid squeezed past Mallorca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Real Madrid had 67% of the ball to Mallorca's 33%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.71 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Real Madrid and 0.67 for Mallorca.
What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Mallorca?
Real Madrid 1-0 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Mallorca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 61%, draw 21%, Mallorca 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.