Granada 2-0 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 Jan 2024

📅03/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.08
6+ Goals
10%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.08
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
18%
4.49
X/2
19%
6.79
X/X
15%
3.64
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
8%
5.53
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.34/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +93%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.7 Crosses 19.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Cadiz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.59 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
313 Passes 240
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
14 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2022 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
13.12.2021 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS1
02.05.2021 Granada Granada 0-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
04.10.2020 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 0-1 Granada Granada İS1
26.05.2019 Granada Granada 1-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
11.01.2019 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
2-0
AWAY Cadiz
2.97 xG 0.81
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
306 Passes 221
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Granada vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada got the better of Cadiz 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Granada as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Granada had 55% of the ball to Cadiz's 45%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.97 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cadiz led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Granada and 0.67 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Granada vs Cadiz?

Granada 2-0 Cadiz in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Granada 41%, draw 28%, Cadiz 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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