Hertha Berlin 4-0 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
14%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.31
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.47
X/2
10%
8.83
X/X
9%
5.61
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.3
2/2
13%
5.95
2/X
9%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 28%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
2.25/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.64
+99% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.4 Crosses 16.5
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 0.62
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
494 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
14.08.2017 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
15.03.2008 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
25.09.2007 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-3 HT 1-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL1
30.04.2005 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-1 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
20.11.2004 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-1 HT 0-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
4-0
AWAY Hansa Rostock
3.95 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
438 Passes 355
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin cruised past Hansa Rostock 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hertha Berlin as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 55% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 45%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 3.95 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hansa Rostock led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.00 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Hansa Rostock?

Hertha Berlin 4-0 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 44%, draw 28%, Hansa Rostock 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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