Bayern München II 1-1 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -29%
1.55/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.58
+5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Aubstadt
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.96 xG 2.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
364 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
28.04.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-2 HT 2-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
03.10.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-0 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
03.11.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-3 HT 2-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München II
1-1
AWAY Aubstadt
1.43 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
320 Passes 318
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II and Aubstadt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayern München II had 50% of the ball to Aubstadt's 50%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.43 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bayern München II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Bayern München II and 1.40 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Aubstadt?

Bayern München II 1-1 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 32%, draw 30%, Aubstadt 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aubstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
12 Apr 2024
20:00 Stuttgarter Kickers vs Bahlinger SC Analysis →
20:00 Weiche Flensburg vs Kilia Kiel Analysis →
20:00 Berliner AK 07 vs Eilenburg Analysis →
20:00 Bayreuth vs Eintracht Bamberg Analysis →
20:00 Kickers Offenbach vs Homburg Analysis →
20:00 Memmingen vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg Analysis →